Friday, March 17, 2017

SEASON PREVIEW: Boston Red Sox

2016 Record: 93-69                                        
Lost in ALDS to Cleveland
Manager: John Farrell

Key Additions: P Chris Sale, 1B/DH/OF Mitch Moreland. P Tyler Thornberg

Key Departures: DH David Ortiz, OF Yoan Moncada, P Koji Uehara, P Junichi Tazawa, UT Travis Shaw, P Michael Kopech, P Clay Buchholz



OVERVIEW: With great pitching comes great sacrifice. Ok, maybe that's not quite the way the saying goes, but it seems to define the Boston off-season. By landing the biggest name in the starting pitcher market, in the form of former White Sox ace Chris Sale, the Red Sox have built perhaps the most dominant rotation in the majors. However, as one would expect, that acquisition came at no small cost. The Red Sox dealt away many top prospects, including the flame-throwing Michael Kopech, as well as outfielder Yoan Moncada, who is projected to become a big-league star. It remains to be seen as to whether the Red Sox gave up too much, potentially jeopardizing some degree of long-term success for short-term gains. But, that is not to say that the team is without young superstar power. Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, Jackie Bradley Jr., and Andrew Benintendi lead a very balanced and potent offensive lineup. The loss of David Ortiz will certainly be felt, both in the lineup and in the clubhouse, however. Ortiz averaged over 30 home runs per season in his career, swatting 483 of his 541 home runs while wearing a Boston uniform, helping the team win not only their first World Series since the early 20th century, but also winning 3 titles in the span of 10 years. And who could ever forget his speech to the city of Boston (NSFW for language) after the horrible bombings at the Boston Marathon? But, alas, the Big Papi era is over.

            So the question becomes: now what? The Red Sox have questions at the corner infield positions. Travis Shaw is gone, and the Red Sox didn't pull the trigger on the likes of Mike Napoli, Edwin Encarnacion, or Mark Trumbo. Instead, it appears that first base and designated hitter will be a revolving door between Hanley Ramirez and newcomer Mitch Moreland. Hanley had a resurgence of sorts last year, adapting surprisingly well to the transition from the outfield to first base. Moreland, on the other hand, is an above average defender, with 15-20 home run power, but his numbers declined last year in his age-31 season. The other corner infield position is more of a concern though, and perhaps more of a concern than anywhere else on the team. Pablo Sandoval has become an absolute liability in Boston, who has constantly regressed since his 2012 season in San Francisco, the last year he made an All-Star team. He has slimmed down and may be in the best physical shape of his career, but how will that translate into productivity? Also battling for at-bats in the Boston infield is Brock Holt, who is a stellar utility infielder, but has yet to show the ability to be consistently productive in an everyday role. The outfield is stellar, led by MVP runner-up Mookie Betts, and Jackie Bradley Jr., as well as Benintendi, who made a strong first impression in Boston last fall. The Red Sox won't get much production from the catcher position, however they are adept at handling the pitching staff, and that is where their value lies.

         Speaking of pitching, Boston's "Big Three" of David Price, Sale, and Rick Porcello looks absolutely dominating on paper, but I'm not entirely convinced their rotation isn't actually just the "Big Two". Yes, I know Porcello just won the Cy Young with a dominant 22-4 season and a 3.15 ERA. But looking at his career progression, that wasn't really what anyone saw coming. Before last year, his career best in ERA was almost a half run higher, and in 2015, he posted a 9-15 season with a 4.92 ERA. With a career ERA of 4.20, it's hard to see Porcello repeating last year's brilliant campaign. He is a very good #3 in the rotation, but I don't think it's reasonable to expect an encore that equals or betters his 2016 numbers. Steven Wright has turned into a pleasant reincarnation of Tim Wakefield, posting a very respectable 13-6 year. Overall, this staff is very good, with some young guys battling for spots in the back of the rotation. The bullpen, on the other hand, may have some question marks to it. Closer Craig Kimbrel looks to bounce back from a (for him) sub-par season, and the Red Sox also lost some pitchers who had been fixtures in the bullpen such as Koji Uehara and Junichi Tazawa. They also dealt Tommy Layne to the Yankees last season. Youngster Thornberg comes in via a trade with the Brewers to provide some relief help, and he will certainly be the set-up man and could potentially unseat Kimbrel as the 9th inning man sometime in the future.

PREDICTION: With the Blue Jays regressing, the Yankees retooling, the Orioles pitching woes, and the Rays lack of payroll, the Red Sox look to be the class of an AL East that appears weaker than in recent years. With some concerns at the corner infield spots as well as the bullpen, the Red Sox will have to rely on their young guns, as well as the "Old Guy", Dustin Pedroia. Price and Sale should be able to carry the rotation, and even an average season by Porcello would serve the team well. This is a playoff team in 2017, but a team that won't get out of the first round. 92-70, 1st place in the AL East.

UP NEXT: New York Yankees

Monday, March 13, 2017

SEASON PREVIEW: Baltimore Orioles





2016 Record: 89-73
AL Wild Card Team
Manager; Buck Showalter

Key Additions: OF Seth Smith, C Welington Castillo

Key Departures: 1B/DH Pedro Alvarez*, OF Michael Bourn, P Yovani Gallardo,  C Matt Wieters
                                                                                       
*at the publishing time of this post, the Orioles are considering bringing Alvarez back on a Minor League deal.

                                   Credit: Baltimore Sun


OVERVIEW: Let's just come right out and say it. If the Orioles want to have any chance at winning the AL East, they're going to have to slug their way to the top. Does that sound like last years team (minus the "finishing at the top" part)? It should, because this team is very similar and will rely on the same style of play in 2017. Matt Wieters departs for the nearby Washington Nationals, taking his 17 home runs with hi, but there is still more than enough pop in this lineup. Mark Trumbo (47 home runs), Chris Davis (38), Manny Machado (37), Adam Jones (29) and Jonathan Schoop (25) all return and give this team an abundance of power who can change the game with one swing. Plus, there is at least a decent level of mutual interest of bringing back Pedro Alverez (22 home runs) on a Minor League deal, and he could certainly fit into this lineup. In addition, the Orioles bring in catcher Welington Castillo and outfielder Seth Smith, Both of them are solid offensive players, capable of hitting 15-20 home runs each. This seems similar to the Earl Weaver Oriole offenses of old, when Earl liked to play for the "3-run homer". In fact, nobody on this 2017 Orioles team stole more than 4 bases on the big league level last year. With no small ball in sight, the O's better hope for a lot of home runs, and they have just the offense to do it.

There is one big difference between those old Earl Weaver teams and this Buck Showalter club. Earl Weaver had pitchers like Hall of Famer Jim Palmer, Scott McGregor, and Mike Flanagan. Buck Showalter has...Ubaldo Jiminez and Wade Miley. Yeah, not exactly a stellar staff. Jiminez has been nothing short of a disaster, having only one good season since coming to the American League in 2011, and Wade Miley registered a dismal 6.17 ERA after joining the Orioles mid-season. Mike Wright and Tyler Wilson were both extreme liabilities in the back of the rotation as well. There are a few possible bright spots however. First, is the oft-injured, seemingly constant prospect Dylan Bundy. Shuffling between the bullpen and the rotation, Bundy compiled a 4.02 ERA, while striking out almost as many hitters (104) as innings pitched (109). If he can stay healthy and continue to develop, there's no reason he can't be a quality starter, if not a possible ace, for years to come. But that's a big "if" and it simply cannot be guaranteed that he can contribute for a full season. Next is Kevin Gausman, who had a solid season in the rotation, making 30 starts and going 9-12, despite a solid 3.61 ERA and 174 strikeouts. Gausman was plagued by allowing 28 home runs in those 30 starts.  He has a live fastball but still tends to groove it and that occasional lack of movement gets him in trouble Nonetheless, his first full season in the rotation leads the team to believe he can be a solid and reliable second or third starter. And then that brings us to Chris Tillman. Tillman was easily the best starter on the staff in 2016, posting a 16-6 record before shoulder surgery ended his season. The original hope was for Tillman to perhaps miss the first few weeks of April, but after suffering a rehab setback, the Orioles are bracing themselves for him to be absent perhaps into the summer. Unless Wright or Wilson steps up or Jiminez remembers how to be a top-notch pitcher, the Orioles are in trouble. The bullpen is stellar, led by All-Star Zach Britton and set-up men Brad Brach and Darren O'Day, but what good is a solid back end of the bullpen if the starters can't hand them a lead? Once again we're looking at you, offense.

PREDICTION: The O's will rake offensively this year, putting up power numbers that will rival some of the best seasons we've ever seen, but the starting rotation continues to be a question mark in the absence of Tillman. Even when he returns, it's not enough to get this team into the playoffs in 2017. 84-78, 3rd place in the AL East.

UP NEXT: Boston Red Sox




-Orioles logo courtesy of Camden Chat






Friday, March 10, 2017

Lace Up the Cleats, Sharpen Your Spikes, and Get Ready!

Less than 25 days until the 2017 baseball season begins, and I think it is safe to say we are all beyond excited! I sure know I am! After a wild and long off-season, it is almost time for baseball games that count (that is, if you don't count the pride that comes from representing your country in the WBC). It is almost time to step back in between the chalk baselines, where the last thing we saw was a curse being broken and an entire city, if not the baseball world, jump for joy. Yes, indeed it is time to warm up in the bullpen, stretch, take your cuts in the batting cage.

And it's time to fire up the ol' blog again!

Admittedly, I did not intend to take the off-season off, but as they say, life happens. But as we approach the dawn of the new season, I have a renewed and energized focus. A lot of that is simply the fire that burns deep within the baseball fan's soul. Yes, it may be dormant during the winter, but it never truly dies. And when the first warm days of spring, it bursts forth again, roaring with new life, more blazing than an Aroldis Chapman fastball, more powerful than a Giancarlo Stanton home run, and more exhilarating than a walk-off bomb. Guys, I'm pumped to experience the 2017 baseball season with you!

The schedule will be a little different this year. Instead of one blog post each day, the plan is to post twice a day. The first post every day will be an around-the-league update with information, news, scores, and highlights. The second post each day will be a feature article. NOTE: Sunday will not have a feature article, only the around-the-league update.

HERE IS THE FEATURE ARTICLE STARTING LINEUP:

MONDAYS- Stat Sheet (an inside look at the numbers for a player or team)

TUESDAYS- History Lesson

WEDNESDAYS- Prospect Spotlight

THURSDAYS- Out in Left Field (musings on whatever baseball related topic I'm thinking of)

FRIDAYS- Card Connections

SATURDAY- Mailbag


We are less than a month away from Opening Day. And with that being said, we will take some time to preview each team in the league before the season begins. The Feature Articles will begin Monday, April 3. Tomorrow, we will begin our season preview with the American League East, and the Baltimore Orioles.

I can smell those peanuts and Cracker Jacks, I hear the sounds of the crowd, and I'm going to root, root, root for my Yankees this year. But no matter what happens, every baseball fan wins. Because the world's greatest game is back from it's wintry vacation. Sing with me, everybody: "FOR IT'S ONE, TWO, THREE STRIKES YOU'RE OUT AT THE OOOOOOLLDD BAAAAAAALLLL GAAAAAAAAAME!!!!"

Monday, September 19, 2016

Holes In The Hall; Why Aren't Jim Kaat and Tommy John In The Hall Of Fame?

Admittedly, for most of this morning, I had no idea as to what I would write about today. The disappointment of my Yankees getting swept at Fenway and virtually ending any hopes at the postseason weighed on me and I couldn't come up with any topics that I felt compelled to write on. So, in need of some inspiration, I began playing my all-time favorite game, Strat-O-Matic baseball. For those of you unfamiliar with the game, it is a card and dice baseball simulation in which the players' cards are supposed to reflect on that particular player's real life performance.The game has been around since the early '60s, and I still have no idea why it took me until my freshman year of college to find it. The game is a great two person game, and I will recommend it strongly to any baseball fan. However, there is another aspect to it that I love just as much. There is a computer version that allows you to do season replays with boxscores and stats that the computer keeps and updates after every at bat. I am in the process of replaying the 1927, 1964, 1977, 1998, and 2012 seasons currently. But my inspiration for today's post came from the 1977 replay.

In an early May Dodgers-Mets game I played this morning, Los Angeles sent the 3-1 Tommy John to the hill to face John Matlack, who was 1-1. The Mets scored a run in the 5th frame, and again in the 9th, but in between the Dodgers scored 3 runs to take a 3-2 victory. More importantly for this story, Tommy John went the distance, allowing just 3 hits. This would be right on par for John, who, in real life went 20-7 in 1977. That is one of the other cool things about this game; It allows you to see just how good players (who you may have actually never seen) were. One of the next games I played took place at old Jack Murphy Stadium, as the Phillies took on the Padres. I saw that Jim Kaat was on the mound. In the real 1977, Kaat finished the year 6-11 with an ERA over 5. On this particular" Strat-O-Day" (in Kendrick-speak, any day where I play more than 5 baseball games), Kaat surrendered a first inning home run to Merv Rettermund, but a 6 run second inning for the Phillies gave him all the cushion he needed. A master of "pitching to the scoreboard", Kaat went 6 innings, allowing 3 runs, and picked up the win for Philadelphia.

Now, without looking up the stats, I know a few things about Kaat. I know he played for a long time. I know he won somewhere in the neighborhood of 280 games (I checked it a little while later...Kaat won 283 games in his career). I know Kaat won 16 Gold Gloves, and is widely regarded (along with Greg Maddux and possibly Mike Mussina) as being one of the best defensive pitchers of all-time. And lastly, I know that Jim Kaat is NOT in the Hall of Fame.

So, having played Strat baseball games that involved both Kaat and John, I thought "those are two really solid pitchers who aren't in the Hall of Fame. Why?" And there ya have it! That's how we got to today's topic. I also considered adding Jack Morris to the list (1991 World Series Game 7 anybody?) but for the time being, we'll just assume the 3.90 career ERA has swayed the voters negatively. Now, without further ado, let's look at the careers and Hall of Fame cases for John and Kaat.

TOMMY JOHN              

"When they operated on my arm, I asked them to put in a Koufax fastball. They did, but it turned out to be Mrs. Koufax."


A 26-year career that spanned from 1963 to 1989 is incredible and remarkable enough, but today Tommy John is known more for the surgery that now bears his name. It's unfortuante, if you ask me, that his career is barely remembered. In fact, I remember talking to someone about his career over the summer, and when I mentioned John's name they said "Isn't that the guy the surgery is named after?" But in his career, John was a 3 time 20-game winner and 4 time All-Star. Interestingly enough, he never won 20 games before the surgery and only had 1 All-Star appearance before it.

John's career began in 1963, when he spent the end of that season, and part of the next in Cleveland. He posted a record of just 2-11, but the 3.61 ERA that accompanied it suggests he was a victim of poor run support. It is a little telling when only 1 player has more than 20 home runs and only 2 players drive in 75+ runs. The Tribe's best pitcher that year, Sam McDowell, sported a 2.70 ERA but only won 11 games. Unfortunately for John, the run support only got worse when he was traded to the White Sox before the 1965 season. The Sox were notorious for awful offense, not just at the time, but seemingly throughout their history. In 1906 when they won the World Series, they were known as the "Hitless Wonders". In 1959, when they won their first pennant since the ill-fated 1919 team, the White Sox finished worst in the league in home runs, 6th in runs scored (out of 8 teams) and 6th in batting average. It wasn't really until the early '70s of Bill Melton and Dick Allen and the late '70s of the "South Side Hitmen", that the White Sox really began to shed their label of being an awful offensive team.

Tommy John spent seven seasons on the White Sox pitching staff. He won 14 games his first two years there, but never won that many again. All told, when he was traded to the Dodgers in 1971 (which , coincidentally was the trade that sent Dick Allen to Chicago), John posted an 82-80 record with the White Sox, despite a glistening ERA of 2.95. John went 11-5 and 16-7 his first two years in Los Angeles, and it seemed to everyone that he was finally on the verge of becoming a star. And in fact, the following year, he was well on his way towards having the best season of his career. With the Dodgers en route to the 1974 pennant, John was leading the charge, thanks to his 13-3 record and 2.59 ERA, when in his 22nd start, he tore his UCL. When noted surgeon Frank Jobe performed the procedure in late September of that year, it was expected that John's career had reached a premature ending. John sat out the entire 1975 year while undergoing rigorous rehab. In 1976, John made his triumphant return to the Majors, winning 10 games for the Dodgers. Starting with his age-34 season, John then began the most dominant stretch of his career. Over the next four seasons (2 with the Dodgers and 2 with the Yankees, who he signed with as a free agent), he won 20, 17, 21 and 22 games. Injuries plagued him the remainder of his career, but he would go on to win double digit games four more times. When he retired at age 46 in 1989, John had amassed a 288-231 record, 3.34 ERA, and had logged over 4,700 innings pitched. The spotlight was never an issue for Tommy, as he achieved a 6-3 record and 2.65 ERA in the postseason (including three trips to the World Series).

The biggest knocks against John are threefold. First, his record of only 288-231 is skewed horribly because of the poor run support he received early in his career. Had he not labored so long as a member of the offensively challenged White Sox, there is no doubt John could have won the 12 additional games needed for 300 victories. Secondly, many people say the only reason John won as many games as he did is simply because he played for so long. But the argument to that is simply that a player who wasn't good enough would never have made it as long as John did. Baseball Reference has a section called Similarity Scores, in which a players' career is compared to other players to give an indication of who their numbers were most similar to. The pitchers who scored the 2nd through 10th most similar careersincluded Hall of Famers Blyleven, Robin Roberts, Jenkins, Wynn, Glavine, Grimes, Sutton, and Rixey. The player who was the most similar to John? Jim Kaat.

JIM KAAT      

Like John, Jim Kaat's critics will point to the length of his career as a negative, not a positive. It took Kaat 25 years to register his 283 victories, and yes, there are Hall of Famers who did it in much shorter amounts of time. But again, Kaat would not have lasted that long if he weren't a valuable asset to the teams he played on. And not only was he a valuable asset pitching from the mound, but he carved out a long career showing his prowess fielding from it as well.

Also like Tommy John, Kaat's first two seasons in the Majors were only partial seasons, as he pitched (rather forgettable years) for the Washington Senators. When the Senators moved to Minnesota to become the Twins in 1961, Kaat finally completed his first full campaign. Despite a 9-17 record, Kaat's 3.90 ERA and 3.53 FIP (Fielding Independant Pitching, which, in the most watered down terms, is his ERA without any effect of his defenders behind him) indicated that he was certainly better than his record would lead one to believe. In 1962, Kaat was named to his first All-Star game, winning 18 games for the Twins. He also won the Gold Glove award as the best defensive pitcher. He would not relinquish that title for 12 years.

From 1962 to 1976, Jim Kaat had double-digit win totals every season and only twice saw his ERA rise above 4.00 (10 years apart, in 1963 and 1973). His best season came in 1966, when he led the majors in victories with 25, posted an ERA of 2.75, and also led the league in starts with 41, innings with 304.2, and complete games with 19. For good measure, he also paced the league with the lowest BB/9 ratio at 1.6 and the best K/BB ratio at 3.73. 

His stranglehold on the American League Gold Glove award came to an end in 1973, but after a two-year period, he regained the award again and held it for another four years through 1977. 1978 was the last season in which Kaat was primarily a starter, when he went 8-5 with a 4.10 ERA. For the next few seasons, until he retired after the 1984 campaign with the St. Louis Cardinals, Kaat was used primarily out of the bullpen with mixed results. All told, he compiled a 283-237 record, 3.45 ERA, 3 All-Star appearances and 16 Gold Glove awards.

"I'll never be considered one of the all-time greats, maybe not even one of the all-time goods. But I'm one of the all-time survivors."

I have to disagree with you, Mr. Kaat. Sure, your pitching numbers aren't like Nolan Ryan or Randy Johnson, sure your name isn't mentioned with the likes of Bob Feller and Whitey Ford, but you are an all-time great in your own way. My biggest issue with Kaat's absence from the Hall of Fame is this: Ozzie Smith and Bill Mazeroski are in the Hall primarily for their fielding, and rightfully so. They were easily some of the greatest defenders at their respective positions, if not of all time. Neither of them were particularly gifted offensively (although the Wizard of Oz sure had some speed he used to his advantage on the basepaths). In the same way, look for Omar Vizquel to eventually make a case for the Hall as another top defensive player. So, with that being said, why ISN'T a guy who won the award for best defender at his position 16 times not included in the Hall of Fame? Oh by the way, he also missed the 300 victory mark by only 17 wins. It seems almost a crime to me. Kaat, in an interview earlier this year, suspects that the mediocre ending to his career has hurt his chances. He also thinks if he had retired after 15 seasons (after the 1975 season when he went 20-11 with the White Sox), that he would have had a better chance at being inducted.


Ultimately, I believe it is a shame that two of the greatest pitchers of their era have been denied entrance into the hallowed halls of Cooperstown. There is no doubt in my mind they deserve to be there. Kaat and John both achieved great success, and their longevity should be viewed as a testament to their ability, not as an excuse for their statistics. Greatness deserves to be recognized, and in this case, it simply has not been given due recognition. Your move, MLB Veterans Committee.



Friday, September 16, 2016

Card Connections: Topps 2003- Where My Baseball Fan-dom Begins

I remember sitting on the living room floor in Virginia at my Grandma's house. Next to the shorter couch on the side of the room furthest from the TV. It was Easter morning 2003. Which, now that I think about it, was a little unusual. As far as I can remember, that year, and maybe the next year (where I have a vague memory of being at an uncle's house) were the only years Easter wasn't celebrated at our own home. Anyways, I remember sitting on the floor, looking down into my Easter basket, and seeing two packs of baseball cards.

Now, I had played tee-ball for a few years, and I was in my first year of kid-pitch as a third grader (I skipped coach and machine pitch), and needless to say, I was awful my first year. If we're being completely honest, I was still very much a football guy that year. My Oakland Raiders were just coming off a disappointing Super Bowl loss to Tampa Bay, but I had every reason to believe next year would be better (Only it wasn't. And for the next decade-plus, it has downright sucked to be a Raider fan. But I still am. And I AM SO FREAKIN' PUMPED ABOUT THIS 2016 TEAM!  Oh wait, this is a baseball blog...right...my bad). Needless to say, baseball wasn't really my favorite sport at the time.

Having been a football fan for a few years by this point, and having gotten into football card collecting by this time, I already knew of the magic feeling that you get from opening a pack of cards. It's the anticipation of not knowing who you're going to get. As you tear away the wrapper, you hope for a card of your favorite team, or a favorite player. And then you had to wonder what was worse, getting a card of someone you didn't like, or getting your third duplicate of the same card.The point being, for all card collectors, regardless of the sport, the feeling of opening up a brand new pack is the same eager anticipatory feeling. And even now, when I open a pack (which admittedly, I do a lot less often because my buying style has changed to online buying), I get that same feeling, and it's like being a kid all over again.

As I picked up those two packs of cards from the Easter basket, I got that familiar feeling of excitement, but at the same time, I had no idea what I was hoping for. My Little League team was the A's, but that was pretty much all I knew. I guess I'll hope for an A's card in here. Well, I didn't get one, but in a way, I got so much more. Cliff Lee draft pick card, Vinny Castilla, Denny Hocking, Jorge Posada, Cole Hamels draft pick card, Dave Roberts, Michael Young gold border, Chipper Jones, Gary Matthews Jr., Ruddy Lugo rookie card. Just like that, I was introduced to the world of baseball. And, for those that know me well, I never looked back.

The Topps 2003 set featured 720 cards, from 1-721. The 2003 set was in the middle of Topps' phase where they "retired" card #7 in honor of the late Mickey Mantle. They also produced the Updates and Highlights set again (I love those mini-sets. as it provides traded cards and midseason call-up cards). I just saw online today, actually that the 2003 Update card of Robinson Cano (rookie card) was selling for $63.  Some of the biggest prospect cards that year included Hanley Ramirez and Kevin Youkilis (both with Boston), Hamels and Lee (what are the odds I got both of them on that fateful Easter morning?), and Alexis Rios. The Updates series also included the rookie card of future Hall-of-Famer and current Tigers' star Miguel Cabrera, while he was still in the Marlins organization.

This blog post is not so much about the history of this card set, but rather it's personal and sentimental value to me. With that being said, I should say that I do not have this entire set, although I very easily could go by the complete box set today and be done with it. That's what I tend to do now, because you can get all the cards at once, without worrying about paying $4 for a 7 card pack, in which you'll already have 5 of those cards. But for the Topps 2003 set, since it was the one that got me introduced into the wonderful world of baseball, I decided that I would go about it the hard (but arguably more fun) way of piecing the set together one card at a time. So, with my 2003 set about 1/5 complete, here are a look at some of my favorite cards I have already acquired.


Card #400: Derek Jeter  

Considered one of the key cards from this set, it features Jeter receiving the throw at second as the Mets' Jeromy Burnitz slides in. Jeter is in his late 20s by now, approaching the middle stages of his career. This card is a personal favorite of mine because it is the first card I ever had of my all-time favorite player.

Card #538: Jorge Julio   

Julio was the absolute definition of a guy who wouldn't be a closer anywhere else, but the Orioles were so bad in the early 2000s that he got the job anyways. The only reason I include him in this list is because I have many memories of watching Orioles' games at my grandma's house and seeing him pitch. He wasn't very good, but he was a main figure in my childhood baseball-viewing experience, so I included him in this list.

Card #431: Scott Strickland  

Another card of a player who was never fantastic by any means, I just really always had an unexplained fascination with this card. I think it's the colors of the Mets' uniforms with the blue border of the card. Something about that was just aesthetically pleasing to look at.

Card #113: Tomokazu Ohka   

The main reason I included this card is that it was just fun to say Ohka's name. But also, I always secretly kinda liked the Expos, even though they were garbage. When the Expos moved to Washington before the 2005 season, I officially adopted them as my National League team.

Card #32: Deivi Cruz   

I don't really have a reason for liking this one. I just always thought it was a cool action shot.

Card #556: John Smoltz   

At the moment, Smoltz is my only HOF pitcher from this set. Plus, how about those retro Braves uniforms?



Ok, last two card's I'll share today.

Card #390: Ken Griffey Jr.   

I had to include the Hall-of-Famer with the sweetest swing ever. (Side note: It's not as good as Griffey's but wouldn't you say Cano has a pretty sweet swing too?)

And lastly...

Card #180: Barry Zito   

Derek Jeter may have been my favorite player, but Zito was probably my first favorite player, and my favorite pitcher. I loved that "Big 3" rotation of Zito, Tim Hudson, and Mark Mulder the A's had from 2003-2004(ish). In fact, when I played travel ball, I wore #75 as a tribute to Zito.


So there you have it, my favorite baseball card set of all time. What's your favorite set? What set got you into collecting? I'd love to hear about it in the comment section!





Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Prospect Profile: Dylan Cozens

NAME:Dylan Cozens
AGE: 22
POSITION: RF
TEAM:Reading Fighting Phils (AA affiliate of Philadelphia Phillies)
DRAFTED: By the Philadelphia Phillies in the 2nd round of the 2012 draft


SCOUTING REPORT: The Phillies always knew Cozens could hit for power, but it wasn't until this past season that we really got to see just how powerful Cozens is. He strikes out a lot, largely in part because he struggles to recognize breaking pitches. Some scouts are concerned about his swing, saying it appears "stiff" at times. Pitch selection can be an issue, but the Phillies are willing to overlook that because of his enormous power potential. Will most likely never hit for high average, and will probably top  out in the .280s. At the beginning of the 2016 season, Baseball HQ said he had speed but because of his size (6'6", 235 lbs.) that aspect of his game wasn't likely to stay around. But Cozens proved them wrong, swiping 21 bases this past year.

STATS: In 50 games as a rookie in 2012, Cozens hit .255/5/24. The following year, he spent the entire season at Low-A Williamsport where he hit 9 home runs and drove in 34. He also reached double-digit steals for the first time with 11. In 2014, he spent the entire season with Class A Lakewood, again increasing his homer count to 16. He also doubled his previous games played high with 132. This was the first look at how Cozens would do over the course of a full season. He also participated in the Australian Baseball League that winter. Then, in 2015 the power numbers dipped. He only launched 8 home runs in 111 games. The run production was still there, as he drove in 59 runs, and he hit a (so-far) career high .280 with most of his playing time coming at High-A Clearwarter. He then went to the Puerto Rican Winter League. There, the power numbers increased slightly, perhaps enough to give the Phillies confidence he was getting his home run stroke back, but certainly not enough to provide any indication of what was to come in 2016. Cozens spent the entire 2016 season at AA Reading,where he hit a very solid .276 in 134 games. But he truly found his power stroke, leading all of Minor League Baseball with 40 home runs, to go with 125 runs driven in. For good measure, Cozens stole 20 bases for the third time in his five minor league seasons.

PROJECTION: Cozens has power that every big league team wants in their lineup. He projects as a solid everyday player who should have no trouble keeping a job for 13-15 years. May make a few All-Star games in his prime as well. The MLB comparisons for Cozens are Mike Cameron, Raul Mondesi, and Reggie Sanders, but Cozens will have just a tick less speed than those players did. An average line for Cozens in the Majors should be a .260 average, 25-35 home runs, 80-100 RBI, 15-20 steals, and upwards of 160 strikeouts.

Tuesday, September 13, 2016

STAT SHEET: A look at the AL Rookie of the Year race

With less than one month remaining in the 2016 MLB season, we have reached the point where races, both for playoffs and awards, are coming down to the wire. For much of the season, the American League Rookie of the Year battle has been between the Tigers' Michael Fulmer, the Indians' Tyler Naquin, the ChiSox' Tim Anderson, and the Rangers' Nomar Mazara, and the Twins' Max Kepler (although he seems like a bit of a longshot). A look at this list brings up two main questions. First, is there any chance for Yankees' young slugger Gary Sanchez? The second question is the more obvious one: who will win the award? A lot can happen in the final month of the season, but let's take a look at all these players in contention, and see who has the strongest case for AL ROY.

MAX KEPLER, TWINS. The German-born Kepler has certainly impressed with his display of power this year, swatting 16 home runs through 99 games. He has also driven in nearly 60 runs (which would project to 97 RBI for a full 162-game season. Perhaps in other years, voters could look past his .238 batting average and his .971 fielding percentage and still vote him ROY strictly on power (let's face it, home runs are a sexy stat that everyone is guilty of putting too much stock into) but the truth of the matter is this year's rookie class is pretty deep in the AL.

NOMAR MAZARA, RANGERS. If you are one of those aforementioned people that put too much stock into home runs (before you get upset or offended, let me come out and say I'm totally one of those people), make sure you see THIS. Even if you're not one of those people, watch that home run video anyways. There are 491 reasons in that video why scouts rave about his power. Not only does he have exceptional power, but he's hitting a respectable .270. Now, like a standard power hitter these days, he DOES have 100 strikeouts, but that's not uncommon anymore. Quite frankly, he's already put up the numbers to have won this award. But unfortunately for Mazara, the AL ROY class is deep this year. He'll be an exciting player to watch throughout his career, but he won't be bringing home the hardware as a rooke.

TIM ANDERSON, WHITE SOX. I'll be the first to tell you; I watched Anderson play minor league ball with Hi-Class A Winston-Salem and I like this kid. Slick glove, speed and a little bit of pop. Anderson was a top prospect in the minors and I expect he can carve out a nice long career in the middle infield. A .286 hitter, 7 home runs, and 10 steals in 80 games this year, Anderson has done a little bit of everything and has already established himself as a key part of this White Sox lineup. While his glovework was slick in the minors, he has made 12 errors this year in Chicago but that number will only get better as he gets older. Every rookie class has their "jack of all trades" candidate, and Anderson assumes that role in 2016.

TYLER NAQUIN, INDIANS. In spring training, Naquin was expected to take over the starting CF position but struggled out of the gate and was sent back to AAA. But since his return to Cleveland, he has shown why he belongs in a big league uniform. On the season he's batting an even .300, with 14 homers and 42 RBI in 102 games. He is a big reason the Cleveland Indians offense has been so productive this year, pairing with guys like Lindor, Kipnis, Santana, and Mike Napoli (side note: I am absolutely astounded how well he is hitting this year). It seems like Naquin has earned his spot and should patrol centerfield at Progressive Field for a long time. He would be my pick for AL ROY if it wasn't for...

MICHAEL FULMER, TIGERS. There's a really simple explanation for why Fulmer gets my vote for AL ROY. Sure a 10-6 record as a rookie isn't bad. 117 strikeouts in 143 innings isn't either. But here's the big reason that I chose Fulmer: He leads the American League in ERA. Sure, it may sound a little simplistic but anytime a rookie leads a league in a "Triple Crown" category, that's a big deal. I watched Fulmer pitch against the Yankees the last time those two teams met and I was absolutely astounded. He doesn't look like a rookie. His demeanor, confidence, and poise on the mound would never lead one to guess he was new to the big leagues. Fulmer and a resurgent Justin Verlander are a huge reason the Tigers are in the hunt for a Wild Card position and they will be all the more valuable if they make the postseason. They'll give the Tigers that dominant 1-2 punch they've lacked since Scherzer left and Verlander had a few down years.



Does GARY SANCHEZ, YANKEES realistically have any chance at winning? That's a very interesting season. Since getting called up at the beginning of August, Sanchez has been, without a doubt, the Yankees best hitter. A .333 hitter, 13 home runs, and 24 RBI in his first 35 games have helped his club climb from 8 games out of the playoffs to just 2 behind the second Wild Card spot. But it seems difficult to give the award to a guy who hasn't been at the big league level for more than a month (2 months by the end of the season). For comparison, howerver, Hall-of-Famer Willie McCovey won Rookie of the Year in 1959 for the Giants by hitting .354 with 13 home runs and 38 RBI in just 52 games. Sanchez would finish the season having played a similar number of games. So, I suppose it isn't inconceivable to see Sanchez winning the award, but I think it is hard to pick him over a guy who has had the season that Fulmer has had. If we get to the end of the season and Sanchez is still hitting .300 and has 20-25 home runs, get back to me because he might have played himself into the top spot.

                             (Penner, USA Today Sports)